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Is an eruption imminent?

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Is an eruption imminent? Is that why they had a press conference?

~ Resident concern, 24th January 2025

 

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PEVOLCA (Canary Islands Volcanic Emergency Plan) scientists issued a press release yesterday about changes in activity at Teide, although there are currently no signs of eruption. What does it mean for you?

Tenerife is a volcanic island so will have eruptions in the future. Volcano science is unable to tell us when this will happen, although certain monitoring signals may tell scientists an eruption may be more or less likely in a loose timeframe.

The press release states that from 2016 and then 2022, scientists have seen changes in the seismic (earthquakes), geodetic (ground movement) and geochemical (types and amount of gas) monitoring signals.

What's caused this change? What does it show?

Scientists think there has been an increase of pressure in the hydrothermal system beneath Tenerife. This does not seem to be precursory to eruptive activity in the short term, although it requires extra monitoring.

It may imply an eruption in the medium-long term could be more likely than before. However, the scientists do not have the tools or data to make specific statements about the probabilities and timeframe of this.

So, what is the message to the population?

The scientists ask for 'calm and prudence' of the population.

There are currently no signs of an eruption in the short-term, but the changes in these monitoring may wax (get stronger) or wane (get weaker/reverse) multiple times before the next eruptive cycle on Tenerife.

What can the population do?

1. Follow any updates from official authorities: #PEVOLCA@IGNSpain@112canarias , @CabildoTenerife@gobcanarias

2. Know how to prepare: https://geotenerife.com/volcanostories/the-volcanic-readiness-project/

3. See the volcano emergency plan:
https://www.gobiernodecanarias.org/infovolcanlapalma/pevolca/

4. Understand the Volcanic Alert Level Traffic Light system:
https://volcanesdecanarias.org/semaforo-verde/

5. Find out more about Tenerife's volcanoes here: https://www.ign.es/web/ign/portal/vlc-area-volcanologia

And here: https://volcanesdecanarias.org/

~ GeoTenerife Team